A Guide to my Excess Mortality vs. Vaccination Rate Articles
Relevant Articles Listed and Links between them explained
(this post was NOT mass-emailed to save the bandwidth of my readers)
I have recently had some important people reach out to me regarding my articles looking at the effects of Covid vaccines on excess mortality. Since I wrote several articles that involve statistical analysis, things might seem overwhelming to a new reader.
This post will attempt to organize my mortality-related posts and explain their findings briefly to help you find a particular article that addresses a particular data set. I will edit this post as appropriate over time as I publish new articles.
The articles will be listed in reverse chronological order, with links placed liberally to aid the reader. This way, the most relevant stuff will be on top — but they build on each other, so please follow the progression.
I will also link to a few articles by other people.
Covid Boosters are Killing Germans - and People of the World - Equally
This article looks at amazing data compiled by Fabian Spieker. It compares “excess mortality” in German federal lands, called Bundeslands, against booster rates. It finds a strong relationship between boosters and excess mortality.
The weird thing is that the EQUATION for excess mortality is almost the same as for the entire world by country!
World: Excess Mortality = 0.1675 * Booster Rate + 0.02387
Germany: Excess Mortality = 0.1732 * Booster Rate - 0.047
Look at how similar the fits for Germany and the world are:
This strongly suggests that the relationship is NOT spurious.
Excess Mortality is Worse Than It Seems
This article explains that excess mortality in young people is WORSE than it appears. Why? Because many of young people’s deaths happen due to non-medical reasons. Medical deaths are experiencing a much more dramatic increase!
Guesstimating Relative Risk of Mortality by Vaccination Status
This article estimates that the relative risk of dying among vaccinated people, compared to similar unvaccinated people, can be guesstimated by bringing together two data sets. It makes a guesstimate of the mortality risk ratio as being 40% worse for the vaccinated people.
It notes that I previously analyzed excess mortality based on two completely separate data sets:
The linear relationships from completely disparate analyses are exceptionally similar:
Using the red “by country” line above, the article makes a straightforward relative risk calculation by imagining a completely unvaccinated country Unvaxedland and a completely vaccinated country Vaxedland.
Turns out that the risk of dying for residents of Vaxedland is 40% greater than for residents of Unvaxedland.
Association Between Vaccines and EXCESS MORTALITY Getting Stronger -- and is Discussed in UK Parliament
This article notes that excess mortality in vaccinated countries is quite correctly mentioned by the UK Parliament member Andrew Bridgen in an official Parliament vaccine hearing! I point out that perhaps Mr. Bridgen saw my “proven relationship” article from Aug 30, which proved the existence of a positive relationship between vaccination rates and excess mortality by country.
Since two months passed after the proven relationship article, I re-analyze the relationship between excess mortality and vaccination using a similar data set that is moved two months forward. We compare excess mortality in countries with their vaccination rates. The linear regression is stunning:
The linear regression above shows that the vaccination rate explains 49% of excess mortality and that the relationship is highly statistically significant (P < 0.0001 is extremely significant).
What is worse, compared to a similar analysis two months before, the relationship has gotten STRONGER in terms of explanatory power (R squared), as well as steepness of the slope.
My post explains that it is very unusual for such a relationship to strengthen over time and shows that something very strange is going on. It explains that regular poisons do not work like that (their effect wears off over time as opposed to strengthening), but carcinogens work exactly like that.
Lastly, the article asks for an investigation into excess mortality on an individual level, something we need to do if we want to save millions of lives.
Is UK's Depopulation Caused by Covid Vaccines?
This post analyzes UK excess mortality by deprivation quintile and finds a strong relationship between excess mortality and quintile vaccination rate.
Interestingly, within one country, the vaccination rate explains 94% of the variation of excess mortality by quintile. Scary!
PROVEN RELATIONSHIP: COVID Boosters and Excess Mortality in 2022
This article looked at the relationship between COVID booster uptake, or vaccine uptake, and excess mortality, using Our World in Data for boosters and Short Term mortality database mortality data you can download. I had to write a custom Perl script to analyze the data.
Turns out that the relationship is extremely statistically significant, with booster uptake at just one moment explaining 40% of the variation of excess mortality and vaccine uptake explaining 27% of the same.
Here’s the chart:
Boosters Now PROMOTE Covid Deaths in Europe
This article looks at the history of the relationship between booster uptake and mortality in Europe. It finds that in the early period of Jan 1-Mar 31, boosters REDUCED excess mortality. In the intermediate period Mar 1 - May 30, boosters did not affect excess mortality. In the last period of Jun 1-Jul 23, boosters were significantly associated with positive excess mortality.
Other People’s Articles
Prof. Norman Fenton and Martin Neil fact-checked some of my posts and made incredible discoveries.
Hartgroup posted an original and fascinating analysis of deaths by country. Dated Nov 11 (archive link in case the article gets somehow deleted). They look at similar data and, not surprisingly, arrive at conclusions similar to mine. An incredibly well-written analysis.
A German author, @olafgarber posted a fascinating thread on Oct 21 (archive link). Use Google Translate to read it.