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Denmark: No-vax is PROTECTIVE; Vax INVITES Omicron
Hospitalization rate same or higher than Delta
Something is rotten in the Danish kingdom.
And what is rotten is the situation with “Covid Vax” and Omicron.
The bad news so far:
According to the latest Denmark reports, being UNvaccinated makes one much LESS likely to get Omicron, than being vaccinated. (!) The “no-vax” is protective, and “vax” invites disease. In fact, the “un-vaccine protection” of being unvaxxed is about 50%! What an amazing treatment no-vax is now.
Hospitalization rate from Omicron is slightly higher than hospitalization rate for Delta, adjusting for time lag between positive test and hospitalization.
Delta is not even starting to slow down in Denmark, judged by absolute number of cases
Greater affinity of Omikron to the vaccinated, going beyond just no protection compared to the unvaxxed, raises concern that vaccination causes ADE (Antibody dependent enhancement)
Denmark’s report suspiciously is missing vaccination status of the hospitalized
Vaccine becoming a joke in Denmark
Look at the latest Omikronvarianten report from Dec 18.
Several things here are obvious:
Only 8.5% of Omicron cases are among the “wholly UN-vaccinated”.
Most Omicron cases occur in 15-60 year olds
Vaccination Rate among 15-60 year olds is approximately 80%
There is about 2% of single-dose not fully vaxxed
So, the “un-vaccination rate”, meaning percentage of completely pure blood un-vaxxed, is about 17%
Therefore, since unvaccinated people comprise 17% of the age sample, but are only 8.5% of cases, they are approximately "50% protected due to not being vaccinated”. Sounds strange, right? We’ll talk about how it works, later.
Omicron hospitalization rate higher than Delta?
I have collected hospitalization data from several recent Omikronvarianten reports. A picture is already emerging. Before discussing it, note that hospitalizations lag cases by about a week or so. People test positive, stay home, most recover, but some decline and end up hospitalized in about a week.
So, looking at the data, note that I compare the number of hospitalizations to the cumulative number of cases, lagging by 6 days. I do that for both Delta as well as Omicron to compare “apples to apples”. Without applying the lag, we would get nonsensical results due to exponential growth of Omicron.
Some things to note here is that in the first few days of Omikronvarianten reports, clearly some data adjustments were made, because Delta hospitalization rate inexplicably jumped on Dec 13, and the first value for Omicron hospitalization also seems out of line. But in the last few days, the picture stabilized and delta hospitalization rate seems to be around 2.1%, whereas Omicron hospitalization rate seems to be around 2.6%.
Please note that properly measuring hospitalization rate requires a cohort study: identify a few of thousands of new Omicron cases, follow these specific people for a few weeks, and count how many end up being hospitalized. Unfortunately, I cannot do this cohort study, and Denmark does not have enough data, but I can try to make estimates using Denmark’s daily reports. My estimates are necessarily extremely imprecise, but they may give us some idea as the apples-to-apples comparison between Delta and Omicron.
Delta is not even stopping
Another weird news here is that Delta cases, so far, are not even declining, they are rising.
I am sure that Delta cases will eventually decline — everything eventually declines — but so far it is a dual rising pandemic, of Delta and Omicron.
ADE - Antibody Dependent Enhancement
The greater affinity of Omicron towards the vaccinated, and the fact that no-vaccination is actually PROTECTIVE, shows that vaccination is not merely useless: vaxx is actively harmful as far as getting a case of Omicron goes. If the vaccine was simply perfectly useless — like a placebo saline solution — this would NOT be the case, and vaccinated, and unvaccinated, would all be infected at the same rate. This is NOT happening here: the vaxxed are infected at a MUCH HIGHER rate, and no-vax gives 50% “protection”.
What is going on? I can think of three explanations.
The unvaccinated include more Covid-recovered who are immune to Covid. This is very uncertain as to the extent of this, as many recovered persons were bamboozled into getting a vaccine also.
The vaccine antibodies are actually aiding and abetting Omicron in penetrating mucosal barrier and overcoming immune defenses. This is called “ADE” and was much discussed on substack, in my previous post as well as many others. Click on the links in the above article.
The vaccine generally destroys immunity, and Omicron evades vaccine antibodies, making Omicron as infectious as without the vaccine, but without the working immune system to oppose it.
Please comment on this and provide your own ideas?
Who is hospitalized?
The biggest question that Denmark can answer, is this: what is the vaccination status of the hospitalized? Are the vaxxed MORE or LESS likely to get hospitalized?
This question seems to be the first to be asked, so I am sure that I am not the first who is asking it. I would suppose that it also came across the minds of Danish researchers. But the answer is missing and I wonder why.
What will happen to the US and UK?
US and UK are in many ways similar to Denmark: similar ethnic composition, similar standard of medicine, and similar vaccination rates. What is different, especially for the US at least, is that our population is a little chubbier and less healthy in general. Our hospitalization rates were always higher than Denmark’s.
UPDATE: User “jrodder40” just updated us in their comment:
To illustrate how fast things are changing: today's numbers from England show Omicron hospitalizations up to 104 from 85 yesterday, and deaths up to 12 from 7 yesterday.
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