UK: Reinfections Show Huge Undercount of COVID Deaths
A "Mild Disease" recurring every 2 months is THE PLAGUE
This is a continuation of my numerous UK reports as well as reinfection reports.
I must warn you that THIS ARTICLE IS NOT FOR THE FAINT OF HEART — it explains that a “mild disease” that recurs often, is a grave illness and a deadly plague. Please STOP READING THIS ARTICLE if you are prone to panic attacks.
The news gets weirder — and worse — every day. To “get into the groove” of weirdness, watch this video first:
UKHSA used not to count covid cases — and deaths — caused by reinfections, that is, by repeated infections. Since February 1 it started doing so.
And this is what happened:
It turns out that deaths were tremendously undercounted — because UKHSA disregarded reinfections.
Mind you, even now, UKHSA disregards reinfections happening within less than 90 days apart, even though many reinfections happen within 1-2 months:
I understand why UKHSA is doing so — short reinfection intervals are difficult to handle as some may be continuations — but a lot of short-time true reinfections are happening. (see below)
Reinfections More Frequent than First Infections
I did a quick calculation based on new reinfection data from UK’s Coronavirus Dashboard: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
First, I calculated, for first infections, what percentage of UK persons uninfected by Dec 13, were being infected between Dec 13-Feb 1. It turns out that the percentage is 1.21% of previously uninfected were infected per week.
Second, I calculated, for reinfections, what percentage of UK persons infected by Aug 13 (90 days before) were being reinfected between Dec 13-Feb 1. It turns out that the percentage is 1.28% of previously infected were reinfected per week.
Do not put too much stock into these numbers, as surely some first infections, and some reinfections, were NOT counted. But they show a clear picture — reinfections are quite on par with first infections.
Also note, as my examples show, that 90 days interval required by the UKHSA is absolutely arbitrary and there is plenty of actual reinfections happening with a interval smaller than 90 days. (see pictures of posts below)
This means that reinfections using UKHSA methodology are significantly undercounted and may be much MORE prevalent. How much, we do NOT know. My best guess is the true number of true reinfections is at least 1.5-2 times higher.
This means that the UK is now firmly in the reinfection-world.
Here are some examples of short-term reinfections from Reddit. All vaxxed.
Case Fatality Rate and Reinfections
There is something very important that we need to understand.
If we have a disease with, say, 0.5% case fatality rate — it means that our chance of dying from it, is only 1 out of 200. If this was a one-time illness that produced great and lasting immunity, it is still a bad disease but at least with a defined risk.
Now imagine that the same disease recurs every two months.
Think about this for a minute. Stop reading and think for a minute.
Every two months the person who is subject to reinfections, is playing a “Mild Russian Roulette” with a 0.5% chance of dying.
This means, simplistically, that over the course of a YEAR, with SIX REINFECTIONS, this person would be subjected to the 0.5% risk of death SIX TIMES.
That’s now a 3% chance of death — in a given YEAR!
This ignores the fact that likely, even mild Covid is deleterious to the immune system and that the damage from endless Covids is likely cumulative. Repeat Covid infections at some point will become more severe and more frequent as immunity is destroyed. In other words, repeat reinfections are a quick way to the grave.
As I explained in the previous article about the UK, vaccinated people do NOT acquire proper natural immunity and it is mostly the vaccinated who are being reinfected. But there are some reports of vaccine-free people who also get infections. I explained in the article below why likely the vaccinated are much more frequently reinfected.
I am very worried. I very much hope that I got this math wrong. I have some vaccinated loved ones and I am very concerned.
"By doing nothing, everything is achieved." - Old Man
I will continue to wait this one out.
Omicron is about to hit NZ in a big fat way. And our big fat people are going to get a big fat surprise when their big fat Pfizer booster reduces their innate immune response to a big fat zero.
That's not how the odds work. The 0.5% chance of death is a result of population "healthyness"; if you've got a thousand people, the least "healthy" five of them will die from covid. Covid death is not a random process; we can predict ahead of time how likely someone is to die of covid based on health indicators like obesity, age, and the presence of pre-existing conditions. For some people, the chance is much more than 0.5%, and for some people it's much less.