Igor, you need a break! This Omicron is a non-event. They just whipped it up to push the items on their list (lockdowns and compulsory vaxx in EU, boosters everywhere, 4th jabs). Omicron was circulating in Africa for months before they declared it on Nov. 23rd. And did Africa die? No. Why then? Because on that day SA changed in Covid-19 case counting rules so that an artificial spike in cases would ensure, everyone knew that. And do not trust all data they publish. They lie to us every day many times over, the bigger the lie, the more believable: "They couldn't have made it up!" Yes they can. They have no remorse or conscience. Don't fall for it. Any numbers they publish - it's their numbers. Remember Pfizer? Their trial data? Just like that. Now it will take FDA 75 years to publish that? And you still believe them? STOP!
Yeah, I will try to take a break from Omicron. I do think that it is NOT a non-event. Dr Fauci wants us to think this way. But soon it will either peter out, as you predict, or will be impossible to ignore.
Igor's hypothesis is at least falsifiable, and from the shape of the (alleged!) curve we should be able to rule it out after 45 days, which would be about two weeks past the projected peak, allowing time for mass casualties to become apparent.
It seems plausible that the vaccine test subjects may eventually be knocked over with a feather as their immune systems continue to degrade.
Igor, at least, is an honest analyst who doesn't move his goalposts. When have the "authorities" ever committed to a falsifiable hypothesis?
Thanks. Yes, it is falsifiable, as opposed "we think it is mild, until more data comes in. Take your booster to avoid dying from this mild variant, although we are not sure if boosters help and we might need to develop a new booster without safety testing" kind of thing.
Look at this Twitter thread trying to prove that Omicron is mild. And look at it critically and compare hospital admissions now to cases a week ago.
You will see roughly 4,000 daily cases a week ago, total hospital admissions now of 1,500 per week, if my reading of these charts is correct. My guess is that hospital admissions are on a 7-day rolling basis (otherwise the numbers are impossibly scary).
So we get hospitalization rate = 1500/4000/7 = 5.3%.
That is not "very low" for a population that is young and already has natural immunity to previous covid infections and is mostly unvaxed and covid recovered.
Agreements and disagreements don't add content to any view or analysis; only data and reasons can. So far, this is a clean Subtwit (!) of mostly like-minded people who are not crude no rude. I hope it stays that way for a while. Once it gains more traction, then,,,,
What is happening is that people's immune systems are being damaged by the experimental injections. Their bodies are thusly more susceptible to all manner of disease. This will worsen and Pharma will roll through the Greek alphabet to explain it away and continue with the fear mongering.
The average age of a death by or with "Covid-19" is higher than life expectancy in all Western countries. No other figure even need be known to understand the "pandemic" (business model) is a fraud and a giant Ponzi scheme.
The fact that there is no such thing as a "Covid death" is another minor problem here as SARSCoV2 itself is a computer generated fiction.
In the US the "Covid death" number is cooked/manipulated due to how the CDC does their accounting as well as many other factors- an audit of the CDC mortality numbers themselves is required.
1) The first thing that must be addressed is "who were these people?" The average age of a "Covid death" is 80 in the US and 82 globally w/4 comorbidities on average. The vast majority of these people were from nursing homes, assisted living, hospice etc. Where did the vast majority of initial "Covid deaths" occur? Here in the US (and everywhere in the West- Milan, Madrid, London, Brussels, Montreal, Toronto, etc.) most, if not all, who died from "Covid" already had one foot in the grave and their death was put on fast forward through medical protocols not an anomalous viral event.
What we had here in the US was a radical and mandatory shift in policies relating to hospitals, care homes and the overall social order. These new "policies" were mandated through various new and aberrant state "guidelines" which resulted in a concentrated death rate for a six week period in March/April. Take that out of the equation and there is no death rate to talk about. Put (or keep) these policies in place and we will have this happen every year.
There was also gross negligence (beyond the usual) in numerous nursing homes that led to abandonment and medication alterations that turned these slow motion abattoirs into death houses. One of the remarkable things of note is that here in the US the "pandemic" was not widespread (which is supposed to be one of the defining features of a pandemic) but was in fact limited to very specific locations;
2) The faulty diagnosis of what is a "Covid death" did they die "with" or "from" Covid which is problematic for several reasons. In many cases an actual test was never done only a "presumed to be Covid" assessment was put forth. Add to this that when the tests were done PCR tests done with faulty specs (gene sequencing, cycle thresholds, annealing problems, faulty primers and so forth) were used. PCR can't diagnose anything in the first place and compounded with these problems they are useless and misleading;
3) No autopsies. Why were no autopsies done in the US? Why did they pass new mandates that halted all autopsies for "Covid deaths?" This went against decades long protocol. They also changed decades old protocol on how death certificates should be filed;
4) Another way they inflated death counts was through hospital admissions and faulty PCR testing. So for example if one came in with a coronary condition you would be given a "Covid test" no matter what- all admissions required this- and then if you died while in the hospital you could have been listed as a "Covid death." This happened frequently throughout the year;
5) Home deaths is yet another way that figures were cooked. This was admitted point blank by Stephanie Buehle (NY Dept. of Health spokesperson) among others who stated that home deaths with no testing at all would be presumed "Covid deaths." This "guideline" was mandated through the NY Health Dept;
6) "Covid death counts were forged- CDC instructed officials to certify any death as "caused by" COVID if the decedent tested positive prior to passing or was suspected of having "C19", even if it wasn't the actual cause of death. Thus we have major misattribution. E.g., we have over 14,000 injury deaths listed in the "C19 death" total.
We also unexplained declines in other common death categories because so many have been attributed to "C19." The unprecedented broad definition of "C19" death has created huge fraud in "Covid death" counts;
7) Another way they inflated death counts was through hospital admissions and faulty PCR testing. This caused a huge spike in iatrogenic deaths caused by misattribution of "Covid" to incoming patients and the ensuing improper treatments applied e.g. ventilators, remdesivir and associated fentanyl dosages which killed thousands.
So for example if one came in with a coronary condition you would be given a "Covid test" no matter what- all admissions required this- and then if you died while in the hospital you could have been listed as a "Covid death." This happened frequently through the year.
The practice of PCR-testing hospital admissions who are asymptomatic for Covid using high Ct values undoubtedly caused deaths and unnecessary suffering.
This matters for several reasons. A pneumonia patient e.g. has a very good chance of surviving with correct support. However, if the patient tests ‘+’ for the non-existent pathogen an entirely different medical protocol goes into action and with this and there is little chance of survival.
The 'diagnosis' of "Covid" effectively permits dangerous protocols to be enacted that then increase the chance of mortality.
With regard to adoption of a new RT-PCR protocol for hospital admissions this also falsely manufactured death statistics for "Covid." Add to this how it was incentivized-$$$$$ while hospitals are under extreme financial duress. The US hospital system had it's worst financial quarter on record in the middle of a "pandemic." Administrators were under pressure to alleviate that financial pain and exploit all openings in the CARES Act.
None of this is accidental.
8) Lockdown impacts- too numerous to cite here.
In short whatever "excess deaths" which may have occurred anywhere can be attributed to people who didn't have to die but were KILLED due to the unnecessary use of ventilators, harsh toxic drugs, people dying prematurely do to lack of medical treatment, ill effects from the lockdowns and so on.
Igor is not parroting anything. He is looking at the raw data and trying to interpret it day by day. NOBODY knows where this is going. He is doing his best to get what he can out of the data we have every day. He is not concerned with being right. He is just trying to figure it out as we go along.
Yes, and I will be the first to admit that I can be terribly wrong. If it turns out that Omicron is not as bad as I expected, I will eat crow but will actually be glad.
I hear that eating crow is better as far as climate change is concerned. 😄
We have a couple of opinions on omicron. Time will tell. But time needs help telling us, and that data and reporting maybe difficult to interpret with everything going on (false reporting, false data, boosters, vaccine side effects, possible Ade, possible original antigenics sin, possible disease enhancement, possible vaccine-induced immune weakness).
Igor, as I said to you before: as long as you demonstrate good faith, I have on issues. How does one demonstrate good faith? If the facts change, we change our views; admitting we relied on wrong facts or calcs.
One fact is clear: any extended variants of a virus cannot of themselves be more dangerous than their their originator. If so, then they were other intervening factors. Or the variants are actually new viruses. If you don't acknowledge these facts, then you are not really demonstrating good faith in knowing the fundamentals.
Omicron seems to be actively seeking out the vaccinated. Supposedly according to someone on Twitter, meaning this is not yet verified by me, only 3 out of 100 are unvaxed
Sorry no link but if you look for Dr Paul Cottrell on Rumble or Bitchute he seems to back this theory. Omnicron seeking out the vax'd seems to coincide with Fauci and crew whining about getting "your boosters" as the first two shots have done significant damage to the immune system. Could have a situation (I hope) here in the US where the vax'd get pummeled. I am not trying to be insensitive or uncaring but something needs to stop this madness ASAP. Hospitals of 95%+ vax'd will certainly go along way to do just that. This is why they have been pushing the unvax'd so hard is to minimize the control group.
I meant meant human viruses, not chicken one like Marek. I am sure that was what babe Drs Kelly Victory and Lynn Fynn meant.
Not from the sources I read and dumped here.
Since I am just a lay reader, I rely on reliable sources to guide me.
You sent me an link dissing the CDC, which reposted an article from USAToday. USAToday. R U serious?
re unvaxed vs. unvaxed
Facts:
1. omicon was first found in the vaxed
2. I don't know about the international travel policies of most countries. However, in Australia only the vaxed can fly in and out. Thus omibulla was brought into Australia by the vaxed.
3. In Australia, only the vaxed can go to bunga bunga parties, clubs, pubs, etc. Therefore, omibulla could only be caught and spread in those settings by the vaxed.
4. The vaxed constitute the massive majority. Therefore, it is expected that omibulla is found more among them.
5. If omibulla was even found disproportionately among the unvaxed, they would, again, libel the unvaxed.
6. Since the vaxes are useless, and in fact immune-damaging, any over-focus on the vax status is obviously irrelevant, like the vax passport.
Again, we need to focus on the two KPIs: medical care and deaths.
Thanks. I would not take the vaccine just because government sponsored "researchers" "recommend" it, but I agree that the Marek situation is a very rare one.
Not naturally but due to vaccine pressure, a Marek’s disease scenario and ADE are both ways it could become more lethal —Marek’s to unvaxxed, and ADE to vaxxed.
Have you ever seen cases of ADE due to further viral mutations or other strains? Every case I've seen was identified with the original strain (during Clinical Trials)
You mean the animals in the SARS Cov-1 trials? I think it was to the original strain.
I don't know of any definite ADE with the SARS Cov-1 vaccine at all, in trials or after, though there have been some Misc-C deaths in the vaxxed where the people died.
With dengue it was dengue, with rsv and measles vaccines (all examples of ADE that happened not in trials but in real life) yes I think original but in principle I think it can be other strains.
"extended variants of a virus cannot of themselves be more dangerous than their their originator": I don't think I would agree with that, without further evidence. I don't see any obvious reason why a virus could not sometimes mutate to become more deadly for a brief period, even though it likely would be out-competed by the weaker strain eventually (because the patient stays alive longer to spread it).
I know nothing about $cience because it is racist and bigoted. As a layman, I triangulate my reading from reliable sources. For example, re what I said about the variants, I learned that, from memory, from babes Dr Lynn Fynn and Dr Kelly Victory. This scientific fact was mentioned others as well.
It starts with the assumption that "Omicron" is anything other than a media creation courtesy of Pharma's PR department.
But prove me wrong- show me one example of an actual confirmation assay of the dreaded "Omicron" variant.
In fact call your health department tomorrow and let them know you may have concerns that you have contracted "Omicron" and ask them if they have a specific test to see if this is true.
Good grief- this is theater of the absurd. It's the toxic injections causing the increased illnesses and it will continue and worsen as more get "boosted" and their immune systems are turned into dust.
Just what I was trying to tell Igor. And remdesivir was not an accident, they knew exactly that these were death sentences to the patients, and they did it regardless. In tens of thousands, if not more. Look at the US mortality data from Covid and compare to any other developed country. US beats anyone hands down and many times over. How could THAT be with the most expensive and extensive medical infrastructure in the world? Figure that one out for me.
Cultural factors of high obesity, prevalence of diabetes, poor nutrition, sedentary lifestyle, lack of access to health care, drug abuse, overcrowding, high prison population, elderly put in care homes. And of course the malevolent govt. response.
Take your vitamins and get right with God. Looks like everyone is going to be exposed. Personally, I went to confession and am attending mass regularly and saying the Rosary and the Divine Mercy Chaplet every day.
Here in Maine, no chance for tan, so ruddy cheeks working in frosty outside plus 6,000 IUs D3 (along w/quercetin, 50mg zinc, 1000 mg C, 10 mg melatonin, & B-complex) will have to suffice!
South African epicenter of Covid-19 omicron outbreak: 70% "are saturating well on room air and do not present with any respiratory symptoms." They are "incidental COVID admissions, having had another medical or surgical reason for admission"
Van den Bossche has a dark prediction that the vaccinated will experience severe consequences from Omicron as it evolves to bind to different receptors than ACE2, and ADE occurs as the variant is so contagious that people will be quickly re-exposed.
At the same time, he says the unvaccinated will be able to withstand it. (He's not as trusting of the immunity of those who are both vaxxed and recovered, and he says they will be variant breeding grounds due to Original Antigenic Sin. He suspects Omicron came from this.)
He also foresees a deadly govt. response of vaccinating even more (of course), this time with anti-Omicron vaccines.
I guess it all depends on whether we can trust the SA data. Are the covid infections they are recording real and symptomatic, or incidental? Are the hospitalisations really needed, or more a case of excessive caution, such as keeping kids in for a couple of days for a sore throat? I think we'd need to see SA hospital ICUs filling up with omicron patients and a lot more deaths before we get too worried about it. At first I thought it was strange that Fauci and the media still seem to be on the "it's mild, don't panic" theme. But as soon as the omicron boosters are ready, you'll see Fauci start talking about how it's becoming more serious, better get your booster or your doomed blah blah blah. But I agree, it's either going to be a total nothing burger, or a fucking disaster. Mainly for the vaxxed. Either way it could be a game changer. If it causes covid to peter out, or whether it becomes a real vaxxed killer that covid has always threatened to be if they don't stop messing around with leaky vaccines.
Someone said Fauci downplaying could be about not wanting to hurt the economy around Xmas shopping season.
But yes so far in SA they are saying it's mild and most of the hospitalizations are for something else, they just happen to also have Covid.
However, it being mild now doesn't mean it will be mild if they develop a vaccine against it that produces ADE. And if it's mild, how many (besides the 22% who want Biden to run for reelection) are going to be persuaded to take 3 Omicron shots, as the Bioentech guy said there will be? He later walked it back, but only because he had let the truth slip out.
It is always hard to say what's in someone's mind and why they say what they say. Many possibilities from "they have no idea what they are talking about" to "they are owned by Big Pharma" to "they are trying to depopulate us". I try to stick to facts more than to guessing due to limitations of my personality.
Hi Igor, just a quick message of support. Keep your honest opinions coming, it's so rare nowadays, even on Substack of all places. I can't see why this bothers so many people in the comments section, if some of you prefer the line of "Omicron is a non-event", you have so many more Substacks to enjoy than Igor's.
I personally think that Omicron ATM in SA is not going to be a calamity, so I wouldn't even bother much following their data anymore, even for a week or two. We're going to have to wait for a while longer until it hits the heavily-vaccinated West, where it could behave completely differently, and I don't mean that in a good way. It could also be mild at first but after a while become much deadlier than past strains, like GVB is predicting. He certainly seems to be as concerned as you are: today he's put up two new posts on his new website, I haven't read either of them for now but I'm pretty sure he's never done that before.
I like your honest and open scepticism of Public Health Authorities . They've been wrong or dishonest on so many things, it's right to be sceptical of pretty much anything they say. If they say it's mild, but keep these illogical travel bans and obligatory quarantine orders for travellers in place for much longer, something is fishy. Seems to me they are trying to push the possible Omicron wave into next year because of the economy. Either way, you can't trust these people, who privately know masks are useless, but are still pushing them a year and a half later because of the fear factor.
Thanks. For the "Omicron is mild" we can listen to Dr Fauci or many other Covid bloggers who say that (many of those bloggers I like so much, actually).
What we know is one of 43 first cases is already in a hospital. The cases multiply at roughly 2x per day. So do not relate today's "cases" to today's "hospitalizations". Apply a week lag to hospitalizations and two week lag to deaths to calculate rates. We are a much older, much less naturally immune, much more vaccinated nation that South Africa.
First patients are healthier younger people, international travelers etc. Wait until Omicron reaches older, obese, double vaxxed sickly people.
Also be ready for a coverup of Omicron deaths in the vaccinated and data not being truthful or manipulated.
Yep. I also came to Substack because of certain Covid bloggers but I like them less and less as some have been becoming too ideological lately. Don't get me wrong, everything is political, but a little more analysis and less partisanship would be nice. I like it that you're not trying to sell us something else along with your Covid opinions. So even if you're wrong on this, it doesn't matter, you were honest and didn't try to sell me free markets or even paleoconservativism along the way.
As I said, I don't share your concern about the Omicron per-se. But I share your concerns what PHAs are going to make out of it. It could be mild, could be severe, it doesn't matter really, when an unelected and uncaring cabal decides the narrative ultimately. It could be mild at first but Omicron boosters make it worse. It could be severe for the vaccinated but it'll still be the fault of the unvacinnated or possibly the unboosted.
I am personally NOT calling for any lockdowns and I believe that they are not warranted even if we have a 2% fatality rate. I also understand that it is debatable if fatality rate gets to 5%, and policy makers are not asking for my opinion.
I am just saying, this could be as lethal as Delta, or worse, and spread several times faster and fully evade vaccine immunity.
Igor, I have not asked you to cease or desist. After all, this is your account - and party, so you can cry if you want to... (heard of that song)?
I am seeker and sharer. I am focused on true and data view and analysis, not from whom or which it came.
As I said before, opinions are nothing if they are supported by verifiable data and reasons. And always need to keep mind the big picture so that we don't get engaged in "paralysis by analysis" - which is part of "their" tactic.
Re your "spread" - they did not even notice that they had it in Europe, and elsewhere, before South Africa/Botswana let slip.
In bunga bunga parties, only a few caught it. So, how do reconcile that fact with your comment?
It is imperative with people who are already on edge that, if you act in good, you provide calm, accurate and level-headed analysis. Spooking people is only spiking their fears, which is 100% unhelpful - if you act in good faith.
What I take away from this is: tell your loved ones about the value of losing the fat, keeping D levels up, keep some ivermectin on hand (horse paste if that's all you can get), stop eating junk, and live your life.
Other than those things there's not a damn thing to do about it.
Except tell your leaders no lockdowns of the healthy.
And for those in countries where Ivermectin is outright banned, look into Quercetin + vit D + Zinc as a substitute. (See also https://c19early.com/ for a multitude of studies on the effectiveness of all sorts of treatments against COVID.)
Ivermectin is poison and will harm your body more than it will help especially if you keep taking it over time when you aren't even sick. Licorice root would be just as effective as a preventive and far safer.
I do believe what you say about hospitals will be true, at least in the northeast.
Will it be exacerbated by Omicron? You present a scenario in which it could be, and I remain open-minded. Personally, I am still more concerned about the short- and long-term issues that will be caused by the booster and child jab campaigns that are receiving a "boost" right now from omicron fears.
Is there anything else going on in South Africa right now that could be adding to increased hospitalization and death? As others have mentioned, careful digging seems to reveal that many people there are hospitalized "with Omicron." What does this mean?
I remember and respect your opinion and we will knowmore in three weeks.
Keep in mind that if the vaccinated are disproportionally affected, the "authorities" may try to downplay the truth and provide us with fake information for a while, until the truth becomes impossible to ignore.
True, and I agree that data is still preliminary. But my general confidence (while always being open to new data) comes from my understanding of the false positive catastrophe and the related massive exaggeration surrounding Covid hospitalizations and deaths. Downgrade all of it by about 90% and that gives you a much better picture of actual dynamics. That said, I am monitoring the ADE trends and read Bossche regularly. The coincidence of the summer wave and vaccination seems a bit too good to not involve something weird, whether it's actually ADE or not, something like it. I am staying tuned but I do urge you again to read our in depth essay that supports my suggestion that all Covid stats should be downgraded by about 90%.
I just wrote another article based on today's data from Denmark, with twelve hundred cases and 18 deaths. Lots of data that allows for some preliminary calculations. And Denmark is probably relatively trustworthy.
Here's the WHO case definition, which requires only a frickin antigen test positive for a "confirmed case," as of the August 2020 update. Antigen tests are horribly inaccurate, especially in screening testing of course, where the Positive Predictive Value can easily drop to 1% or less (which means there's a 99% chance that a positive test result is a false positive).
Are you starting to see how much exaggeration there is in the whole pandemic surveillance chain?
Respectfully disagree -- almost all nations, including Denmark, define a "case" as a positive test only, no symptoms required. Ditto for deaths. So the 90% downgrade also pertains here as it does for almost every nation in the world b/c most have taken WHO's advice on these definitions as just described. Here's my in depth look at these issues. This is not just US. It's basically global. https://tamhunt.medium.com/how-covid-19-stats-are-grossly-exaggerated-a-brief-summary-of-the-arguments-53a5b4237c4c
Igor, you need a break! This Omicron is a non-event. They just whipped it up to push the items on their list (lockdowns and compulsory vaxx in EU, boosters everywhere, 4th jabs). Omicron was circulating in Africa for months before they declared it on Nov. 23rd. And did Africa die? No. Why then? Because on that day SA changed in Covid-19 case counting rules so that an artificial spike in cases would ensure, everyone knew that. And do not trust all data they publish. They lie to us every day many times over, the bigger the lie, the more believable: "They couldn't have made it up!" Yes they can. They have no remorse or conscience. Don't fall for it. Any numbers they publish - it's their numbers. Remember Pfizer? Their trial data? Just like that. Now it will take FDA 75 years to publish that? And you still believe them? STOP!
Yeah, I will try to take a break from Omicron. I do think that it is NOT a non-event. Dr Fauci wants us to think this way. But soon it will either peter out, as you predict, or will be impossible to ignore.
No problemo! Everyone is entitled to his honest opinion. Just throwing some water on your fire LOL.
You are definitely not trying to "boost" his ego!
I hear there's a shot for that; definitely not experimental!
Igor's hypothesis is at least falsifiable, and from the shape of the (alleged!) curve we should be able to rule it out after 45 days, which would be about two weeks past the projected peak, allowing time for mass casualties to become apparent.
It seems plausible that the vaccine test subjects may eventually be knocked over with a feather as their immune systems continue to degrade.
Igor, at least, is an honest analyst who doesn't move his goalposts. When have the "authorities" ever committed to a falsifiable hypothesis?
Thanks. Yes, it is falsifiable, as opposed "we think it is mild, until more data comes in. Take your booster to avoid dying from this mild variant, although we are not sure if boosters help and we might need to develop a new booster without safety testing" kind of thing.
Look at this Twitter thread trying to prove that Omicron is mild. And look at it critically and compare hospital admissions now to cases a week ago.
https://twitter.com/pieterstreicher/status/1468652410637799437
You will see roughly 4,000 daily cases a week ago, total hospital admissions now of 1,500 per week, if my reading of these charts is correct. My guess is that hospital admissions are on a 7-day rolling basis (otherwise the numbers are impossibly scary).
So we get hospitalization rate = 1500/4000/7 = 5.3%.
That is not "very low" for a population that is young and already has natural immunity to previous covid infections and is mostly unvaxed and covid recovered.
Leave him be. I've been pummeling him with contrary links.
And a fine job you've done LOL.
I love the way Igor let's everyone comment freely. Shows strength.
Agreements and disagreements don't add content to any view or analysis; only data and reasons can. So far, this is a clean Subtwit (!) of mostly like-minded people who are not crude no rude. I hope it stays that way for a while. Once it gains more traction, then,,,,
You can’t be certain.
One can't be certain of anything, can one?
Please quit parroting the omicron lie.
What is happening is that people's immune systems are being damaged by the experimental injections. Their bodies are thusly more susceptible to all manner of disease. This will worsen and Pharma will roll through the Greek alphabet to explain it away and continue with the fear mongering.
The average age of a death by or with "Covid-19" is higher than life expectancy in all Western countries. No other figure even need be known to understand the "pandemic" (business model) is a fraud and a giant Ponzi scheme.
The fact that there is no such thing as a "Covid death" is another minor problem here as SARSCoV2 itself is a computer generated fiction.
In the US the "Covid death" number is cooked/manipulated due to how the CDC does their accounting as well as many other factors- an audit of the CDC mortality numbers themselves is required.
1) The first thing that must be addressed is "who were these people?" The average age of a "Covid death" is 80 in the US and 82 globally w/4 comorbidities on average. The vast majority of these people were from nursing homes, assisted living, hospice etc. Where did the vast majority of initial "Covid deaths" occur? Here in the US (and everywhere in the West- Milan, Madrid, London, Brussels, Montreal, Toronto, etc.) most, if not all, who died from "Covid" already had one foot in the grave and their death was put on fast forward through medical protocols not an anomalous viral event.
What we had here in the US was a radical and mandatory shift in policies relating to hospitals, care homes and the overall social order. These new "policies" were mandated through various new and aberrant state "guidelines" which resulted in a concentrated death rate for a six week period in March/April. Take that out of the equation and there is no death rate to talk about. Put (or keep) these policies in place and we will have this happen every year.
There was also gross negligence (beyond the usual) in numerous nursing homes that led to abandonment and medication alterations that turned these slow motion abattoirs into death houses. One of the remarkable things of note is that here in the US the "pandemic" was not widespread (which is supposed to be one of the defining features of a pandemic) but was in fact limited to very specific locations;
2) The faulty diagnosis of what is a "Covid death" did they die "with" or "from" Covid which is problematic for several reasons. In many cases an actual test was never done only a "presumed to be Covid" assessment was put forth. Add to this that when the tests were done PCR tests done with faulty specs (gene sequencing, cycle thresholds, annealing problems, faulty primers and so forth) were used. PCR can't diagnose anything in the first place and compounded with these problems they are useless and misleading;
3) No autopsies. Why were no autopsies done in the US? Why did they pass new mandates that halted all autopsies for "Covid deaths?" This went against decades long protocol. They also changed decades old protocol on how death certificates should be filed;
4) Another way they inflated death counts was through hospital admissions and faulty PCR testing. So for example if one came in with a coronary condition you would be given a "Covid test" no matter what- all admissions required this- and then if you died while in the hospital you could have been listed as a "Covid death." This happened frequently throughout the year;
5) Home deaths is yet another way that figures were cooked. This was admitted point blank by Stephanie Buehle (NY Dept. of Health spokesperson) among others who stated that home deaths with no testing at all would be presumed "Covid deaths." This "guideline" was mandated through the NY Health Dept;
6) "Covid death counts were forged- CDC instructed officials to certify any death as "caused by" COVID if the decedent tested positive prior to passing or was suspected of having "C19", even if it wasn't the actual cause of death. Thus we have major misattribution. E.g., we have over 14,000 injury deaths listed in the "C19 death" total.
We also unexplained declines in other common death categories because so many have been attributed to "C19." The unprecedented broad definition of "C19" death has created huge fraud in "Covid death" counts;
7) Another way they inflated death counts was through hospital admissions and faulty PCR testing. This caused a huge spike in iatrogenic deaths caused by misattribution of "Covid" to incoming patients and the ensuing improper treatments applied e.g. ventilators, remdesivir and associated fentanyl dosages which killed thousands.
So for example if one came in with a coronary condition you would be given a "Covid test" no matter what- all admissions required this- and then if you died while in the hospital you could have been listed as a "Covid death." This happened frequently through the year.
The practice of PCR-testing hospital admissions who are asymptomatic for Covid using high Ct values undoubtedly caused deaths and unnecessary suffering.
This matters for several reasons. A pneumonia patient e.g. has a very good chance of surviving with correct support. However, if the patient tests ‘+’ for the non-existent pathogen an entirely different medical protocol goes into action and with this and there is little chance of survival.
The 'diagnosis' of "Covid" effectively permits dangerous protocols to be enacted that then increase the chance of mortality.
With regard to adoption of a new RT-PCR protocol for hospital admissions this also falsely manufactured death statistics for "Covid." Add to this how it was incentivized-$$$$$ while hospitals are under extreme financial duress. The US hospital system had it's worst financial quarter on record in the middle of a "pandemic." Administrators were under pressure to alleviate that financial pain and exploit all openings in the CARES Act.
None of this is accidental.
8) Lockdown impacts- too numerous to cite here.
In short whatever "excess deaths" which may have occurred anywhere can be attributed to people who didn't have to die but were KILLED due to the unnecessary use of ventilators, harsh toxic drugs, people dying prematurely do to lack of medical treatment, ill effects from the lockdowns and so on.
Igor is not parroting anything. He is looking at the raw data and trying to interpret it day by day. NOBODY knows where this is going. He is doing his best to get what he can out of the data we have every day. He is not concerned with being right. He is just trying to figure it out as we go along.
Yes, and I will be the first to admit that I can be terribly wrong. If it turns out that Omicron is not as bad as I expected, I will eat crow but will actually be glad.
I hear that eating crow is better as far as climate change is concerned. 😄
We have a couple of opinions on omicron. Time will tell. But time needs help telling us, and that data and reporting maybe difficult to interpret with everything going on (false reporting, false data, boosters, vaccine side effects, possible Ade, possible original antigenics sin, possible disease enhancement, possible vaccine-induced immune weakness).
Igor, as I said to you before: as long as you demonstrate good faith, I have on issues. How does one demonstrate good faith? If the facts change, we change our views; admitting we relied on wrong facts or calcs.
One fact is clear: any extended variants of a virus cannot of themselves be more dangerous than their their originator. If so, then they were other intervening factors. Or the variants are actually new viruses. If you don't acknowledge these facts, then you are not really demonstrating good faith in knowing the fundamentals.
Well, there is that Marek's disease where the variant was worse than the originator.
We will see what happens, the more I read about Omicron the worse things look.
11 out of 12 Omicron cases in Oakland are boosted
https://www.mercurynews.com/2021/12/08/covid-east-bay-omicron-cases-were-vaccinated-kaiser-staff/
Omicron seems to be actively seeking out the vaccinated. Supposedly according to someone on Twitter, meaning this is not yet verified by me, only 3 out of 100 are unvaxed
https://twitter.com/kr3at/status/1468799914981343235
Some already got hospitalized.
And it seems to be lab made. So who made it ? Why? For what purpose?
Sorry no link but if you look for Dr Paul Cottrell on Rumble or Bitchute he seems to back this theory. Omnicron seeking out the vax'd seems to coincide with Fauci and crew whining about getting "your boosters" as the first two shots have done significant damage to the immune system. Could have a situation (I hope) here in the US where the vax'd get pummeled. I am not trying to be insensitive or uncaring but something needs to stop this madness ASAP. Hospitals of 95%+ vax'd will certainly go along way to do just that. This is why they have been pushing the unvax'd so hard is to minimize the control group.
I meant meant human viruses, not chicken one like Marek. I am sure that was what babe Drs Kelly Victory and Lynn Fynn meant.
Not from the sources I read and dumped here.
Since I am just a lay reader, I rely on reliable sources to guide me.
You sent me an link dissing the CDC, which reposted an article from USAToday. USAToday. R U serious?
re unvaxed vs. unvaxed
Facts:
1. omicon was first found in the vaxed
2. I don't know about the international travel policies of most countries. However, in Australia only the vaxed can fly in and out. Thus omibulla was brought into Australia by the vaxed.
3. In Australia, only the vaxed can go to bunga bunga parties, clubs, pubs, etc. Therefore, omibulla could only be caught and spread in those settings by the vaxed.
4. The vaxed constitute the massive majority. Therefore, it is expected that omibulla is found more among them.
5. If omibulla was even found disproportionately among the unvaxed, they would, again, libel the unvaxed.
6. Since the vaxes are useless, and in fact immune-damaging, any over-focus on the vax status is obviously irrelevant, like the vax passport.
Again, we need to focus on the two KPIs: medical care and deaths.
However, even the researcher who shows the interesting case of Marek's disease, says that even though there is a hypothetical chance of that happening, 'that outcome is rare' and that there is no evidence for this happening. He recommends getting the vaccine (https://theconversation.com/vaccines-could-affect-how-the-coronavirus-evolves-but-thats-no-reason-to-skip-your-shot-165960)
Thanks. I would not take the vaccine just because government sponsored "researchers" "recommend" it, but I agree that the Marek situation is a very rare one.
Not naturally but due to vaccine pressure, a Marek’s disease scenario and ADE are both ways it could become more lethal —Marek’s to unvaxxed, and ADE to vaxxed.
Have you ever seen cases of ADE due to further viral mutations or other strains? Every case I've seen was identified with the original strain (during Clinical Trials)
You mean the animals in the SARS Cov-1 trials? I think it was to the original strain.
I don't know of any definite ADE with the SARS Cov-1 vaccine at all, in trials or after, though there have been some Misc-C deaths in the vaxxed where the people died.
With dengue it was dengue, with rsv and measles vaccines (all examples of ADE that happened not in trials but in real life) yes I think original but in principle I think it can be other strains.
Or the release of a bioweapon that resembles a varient.
"extended variants of a virus cannot of themselves be more dangerous than their their originator": I don't think I would agree with that, without further evidence. I don't see any obvious reason why a virus could not sometimes mutate to become more deadly for a brief period, even though it likely would be out-competed by the weaker strain eventually (because the patient stays alive longer to spread it).
I know nothing about $cience because it is racist and bigoted. As a layman, I triangulate my reading from reliable sources. For example, re what I said about the variants, I learned that, from memory, from babes Dr Lynn Fynn and Dr Kelly Victory. This scientific fact was mentioned others as well.
If you think analytically, it does make sense.
What is an 'extended variant', and why can't they 'be more dangerous than their their originator'?
I remember you, David. Ex-communicate...
I just asked you a question. Not up for a discussion?
Certainly he is here.
It starts with the assumption that "Omicron" is anything other than a media creation courtesy of Pharma's PR department.
But prove me wrong- show me one example of an actual confirmation assay of the dreaded "Omicron" variant.
In fact call your health department tomorrow and let them know you may have concerns that you have contracted "Omicron" and ask them if they have a specific test to see if this is true.
Good grief- this is theater of the absurd. It's the toxic injections causing the increased illnesses and it will continue and worsen as more get "boosted" and their immune systems are turned into dust.
The data is not raw, it's cooked and/or well done.
Just what I was trying to tell Igor. And remdesivir was not an accident, they knew exactly that these were death sentences to the patients, and they did it regardless. In tens of thousands, if not more. Look at the US mortality data from Covid and compare to any other developed country. US beats anyone hands down and many times over. How could THAT be with the most expensive and extensive medical infrastructure in the world? Figure that one out for me.
Yes- I'm not sure how or why Igor is taking this bait. It's such an obvious lie.
The only way you can believe this rubbish is if you trust billionaire psychopaths and their bought off worms.
PPSD maybe?
Cultural factors of high obesity, prevalence of diabetes, poor nutrition, sedentary lifestyle, lack of access to health care, drug abuse, overcrowding, high prison population, elderly put in care homes. And of course the malevolent govt. response.
A very comprehensive brief, hardly missing a thing.
Leave him be. Debate him with reasons and fact; and links. Once the facts are clear, and he persists, then we know his true colours.
Nailed it
Take your vitamins and get right with God. Looks like everyone is going to be exposed. Personally, I went to confession and am attending mass regularly and saying the Rosary and the Divine Mercy Chaplet every day.
I really like your idea of worship and vitamins. I would add exercise and, if at all possible, getting at least a bit of tan, weather permitting.
Yeah for sure get your VitD..
Yes! I am swimming almost every day. And I am in South Texas where the sun is almost always shining!!
Here in Maine, no chance for tan, so ruddy cheeks working in frosty outside plus 6,000 IUs D3 (along w/quercetin, 50mg zinc, 1000 mg C, 10 mg melatonin, & B-complex) will have to suffice!
Hey King, please pray for me and I'll pray for you. Your regimen of worship and prayer is as salutary as anything medicine can offer
Ditto, Zane!
nomine patris filii spiritus sancti, Amen
Well Igor - you were right about the halving of booster due dates! So who knows?
I love your speculative creative number crunching. I appreciate you still having an open mind and exploring ideas.
Thank you Susanna! Time will tell and soon. I hope that if things go badly, we will still be getting unbiased data (yeah right)
South African epicenter of Covid-19 omicron outbreak: 70% "are saturating well on room air and do not present with any respiratory symptoms." They are "incidental COVID admissions, having had another medical or surgical reason for admission"
https://twitter.com/andrewbostom/status/1468194280011358209
Van den Bossche has a dark prediction that the vaccinated will experience severe consequences from Omicron as it evolves to bind to different receptors than ACE2, and ADE occurs as the variant is so contagious that people will be quickly re-exposed.
At the same time, he says the unvaccinated will be able to withstand it. (He's not as trusting of the immunity of those who are both vaxxed and recovered, and he says they will be variant breeding grounds due to Original Antigenic Sin. He suspects Omicron came from this.)
He also foresees a deadly govt. response of vaccinating even more (of course), this time with anti-Omicron vaccines.
https://www.voiceforscienceandsolidarity.org/scientific-blog/to-all-those-who-believe-omicron-is-signaling-the-transition-of-the-pandemic-into-endemicity
Two signs of ADE are
- Vaccinated persons preferentially infected
- Vaccinated persons having worse case fatality rate and severe outcomes
Not enough data yet, but the first point MIGHT be present in recent reports.
11 of 12 Omicron cases triple vaxxed:
https://www.mercurynews.com/2021/12/08/covid-east-bay-omicron-cases-were-vaccinated-kaiser-staff/
Again, cases mean diddly if people don't get sickie to require medical care... So far, they have stated that it is surprisingly mild. From clinicians.
Richard Friedland, CEO of Netcare, the largest private hospital system in South Africa:
"This may signal the end of Covid–19, with it attenuating itself to such an extent that it’s highly contagious but doesn’t cause severe disease."
https://twitter.com/kerpen/status/1468309558741319681
Yes: https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVkt-TmjAQx_8aecMhCSA88NDqaGkVPetZvRcmkAVyQkJDOIG_vvHsQzuTTSb747sz-9mcaiilGqNWdtp6XKkeW4gE3LsatAZl9R2olLMIOcTzAhRYLHIZCrzA4l1aKICG8jrSqger7bOa51RzKR4VBJMQuVYVkSKDBUNuSAOgoQsoNB_PYS54eQiUPBvTnnEQOUTwAWqUAqw6qrRuuxn5MsNrczKp-O-ellTLeddnnab5bZ7LxoRaY41UYMMHZw8VWxa2bHiupLAbXjMBnRFaa3kDMSMrGL-jHJ_HC65v8bscdqsdSk7lsF_eeb4JJ7YO27dl7Cer12E3vQ77U9zFTV0x49udrtN-dcPJezwk_M7pJZmMBs-_nfn2tBt3021IliZfJOjKYz8WXz9y8qLz5lxdybHNsMuLl_n-5-Zuu93hTR03RZrav-LLtGjqrT5WdPsjTcdDdj7Yi_qwlRaPsIMRwk6AMCbEmeM5LFy6YGFQhD7JHJ_NuyJgYVbimes0Jf5vQJaKlLyJXk99Z8IjraT89BtiqXmbXnA9piBoVgN7wtTPnfjEm5YgQJldYSnVEfJJEPo-Rv7C_8vO0HY9RDwUYss0ZtJUiegfXn8AESnSxQ
Please don't send such queer-looking links.
Thanks anyway,
I guess it all depends on whether we can trust the SA data. Are the covid infections they are recording real and symptomatic, or incidental? Are the hospitalisations really needed, or more a case of excessive caution, such as keeping kids in for a couple of days for a sore throat? I think we'd need to see SA hospital ICUs filling up with omicron patients and a lot more deaths before we get too worried about it. At first I thought it was strange that Fauci and the media still seem to be on the "it's mild, don't panic" theme. But as soon as the omicron boosters are ready, you'll see Fauci start talking about how it's becoming more serious, better get your booster or your doomed blah blah blah. But I agree, it's either going to be a total nothing burger, or a fucking disaster. Mainly for the vaxxed. Either way it could be a game changer. If it causes covid to peter out, or whether it becomes a real vaxxed killer that covid has always threatened to be if they don't stop messing around with leaky vaccines.
Someone said Fauci downplaying could be about not wanting to hurt the economy around Xmas shopping season.
But yes so far in SA they are saying it's mild and most of the hospitalizations are for something else, they just happen to also have Covid.
However, it being mild now doesn't mean it will be mild if they develop a vaccine against it that produces ADE. And if it's mild, how many (besides the 22% who want Biden to run for reelection) are going to be persuaded to take 3 Omicron shots, as the Bioentech guy said there will be? He later walked it back, but only because he had let the truth slip out.
It is always hard to say what's in someone's mind and why they say what they say. Many possibilities from "they have no idea what they are talking about" to "they are owned by Big Pharma" to "they are trying to depopulate us". I try to stick to facts more than to guessing due to limitations of my personality.
Hi Igor, just a quick message of support. Keep your honest opinions coming, it's so rare nowadays, even on Substack of all places. I can't see why this bothers so many people in the comments section, if some of you prefer the line of "Omicron is a non-event", you have so many more Substacks to enjoy than Igor's.
I personally think that Omicron ATM in SA is not going to be a calamity, so I wouldn't even bother much following their data anymore, even for a week or two. We're going to have to wait for a while longer until it hits the heavily-vaccinated West, where it could behave completely differently, and I don't mean that in a good way. It could also be mild at first but after a while become much deadlier than past strains, like GVB is predicting. He certainly seems to be as concerned as you are: today he's put up two new posts on his new website, I haven't read either of them for now but I'm pretty sure he's never done that before.
I like your honest and open scepticism of Public Health Authorities . They've been wrong or dishonest on so many things, it's right to be sceptical of pretty much anything they say. If they say it's mild, but keep these illogical travel bans and obligatory quarantine orders for travellers in place for much longer, something is fishy. Seems to me they are trying to push the possible Omicron wave into next year because of the economy. Either way, you can't trust these people, who privately know masks are useless, but are still pushing them a year and a half later because of the fear factor.
Thanks. For the "Omicron is mild" we can listen to Dr Fauci or many other Covid bloggers who say that (many of those bloggers I like so much, actually).
What we know is one of 43 first cases is already in a hospital. The cases multiply at roughly 2x per day. So do not relate today's "cases" to today's "hospitalizations". Apply a week lag to hospitalizations and two week lag to deaths to calculate rates. We are a much older, much less naturally immune, much more vaccinated nation that South Africa.
First patients are healthier younger people, international travelers etc. Wait until Omicron reaches older, obese, double vaxxed sickly people.
Also be ready for a coverup of Omicron deaths in the vaccinated and data not being truthful or manipulated.
Yep. I also came to Substack because of certain Covid bloggers but I like them less and less as some have been becoming too ideological lately. Don't get me wrong, everything is political, but a little more analysis and less partisanship would be nice. I like it that you're not trying to sell us something else along with your Covid opinions. So even if you're wrong on this, it doesn't matter, you were honest and didn't try to sell me free markets or even paleoconservativism along the way.
As I said, I don't share your concern about the Omicron per-se. But I share your concerns what PHAs are going to make out of it. It could be mild, could be severe, it doesn't matter really, when an unelected and uncaring cabal decides the narrative ultimately. It could be mild at first but Omicron boosters make it worse. It could be severe for the vaccinated but it'll still be the fault of the unvacinnated or possibly the unboosted.
I
When studying Omicron’s genome I noticed 214 replaced with (EOE)
Omicron has 26 changes in AA on the spike.
I believe it morphed into human CoV 229 which is a common cold.
Are these lockdowns warranted? 🤣
https://osf.io/f7txy/
https://t.me/DrLynnFynn/696
I am personally NOT calling for any lockdowns and I believe that they are not warranted even if we have a 2% fatality rate. I also understand that it is debatable if fatality rate gets to 5%, and policy makers are not asking for my opinion.
I am just saying, this could be as lethal as Delta, or worse, and spread several times faster and fully evade vaccine immunity.
Igor, I have not asked you to cease or desist. After all, this is your account - and party, so you can cry if you want to... (heard of that song)?
I am seeker and sharer. I am focused on true and data view and analysis, not from whom or which it came.
As I said before, opinions are nothing if they are supported by verifiable data and reasons. And always need to keep mind the big picture so that we don't get engaged in "paralysis by analysis" - which is part of "their" tactic.
Re your "spread" - they did not even notice that they had it in Europe, and elsewhere, before South Africa/Botswana let slip.
In bunga bunga parties, only a few caught it. So, how do reconcile that fact with your comment?
It is imperative with people who are already on edge that, if you act in good, you provide calm, accurate and level-headed analysis. Spooking people is only spiking their fears, which is 100% unhelpful - if you act in good faith.
Since November 1, in South Africa:
• Covid active cases are up 506%
• Covid hospitalizations are up 11%
So mankind has been very lucky with Omicron so far.
https://twitter.com/Covid19Crusher/status/1468656277068914696
Thanks for doing this work, Igor. It's not a bad idea to tell people to be aware.
I sure hope it goes the way of mild ==> endemic
Have you heard of Pfizer? Frauci? The US dems?
Why no, Barry, never heard of em.
What I take away from this is: tell your loved ones about the value of losing the fat, keeping D levels up, keep some ivermectin on hand (horse paste if that's all you can get), stop eating junk, and live your life.
Other than those things there's not a damn thing to do about it.
Except tell your leaders no lockdowns of the healthy.
I got my ivermectin in one day from push health dot com
I bought mine from a friend
Are you certain it's ivermectin?
They called the prescription into Walmart. I don’t think CVS and Walgreens are participating, not sure.
Just pulling your leg!
Just pulling your med!
And for those in countries where Ivermectin is outright banned, look into Quercetin + vit D + Zinc as a substitute. (See also https://c19early.com/ for a multitude of studies on the effectiveness of all sorts of treatments against COVID.)
Ivermectin is poison and synthetic vitamins are more or less useless. Licorice root is sufficient as a preventive.
Ivermectin is poison and will harm your body more than it will help especially if you keep taking it over time when you aren't even sick. Licorice root would be just as effective as a preventive and far safer.
I do believe what you say about hospitals will be true, at least in the northeast.
Will it be exacerbated by Omicron? You present a scenario in which it could be, and I remain open-minded. Personally, I am still more concerned about the short- and long-term issues that will be caused by the booster and child jab campaigns that are receiving a "boost" right now from omicron fears.
Is there anything else going on in South Africa right now that could be adding to increased hospitalization and death? As others have mentioned, careful digging seems to reveal that many people there are hospitalized "with Omicron." What does this mean?
I am not sure, and I am anxiously searching for confirming or DISconfirming evidence.
Fuck it. Just burn it all down. Maybe we need an Iron Age Collapse just like they had in the age of copper and tin.
Again, these data and projections are all wrong for reasons I've shared on the last two posts.
I remember and respect your opinion and we will knowmore in three weeks.
Keep in mind that if the vaccinated are disproportionally affected, the "authorities" may try to downplay the truth and provide us with fake information for a while, until the truth becomes impossible to ignore.
True, and I agree that data is still preliminary. But my general confidence (while always being open to new data) comes from my understanding of the false positive catastrophe and the related massive exaggeration surrounding Covid hospitalizations and deaths. Downgrade all of it by about 90% and that gives you a much better picture of actual dynamics. That said, I am monitoring the ADE trends and read Bossche regularly. The coincidence of the summer wave and vaccination seems a bit too good to not involve something weird, whether it's actually ADE or not, something like it. I am staying tuned but I do urge you again to read our in depth essay that supports my suggestion that all Covid stats should be downgraded by about 90%.
I just wrote another article based on today's data from Denmark, with twelve hundred cases and 18 deaths. Lots of data that allows for some preliminary calculations. And Denmark is probably relatively trustworthy.
https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/WHO-2019-nCoV-Surveillance_Case_Definition-2020.2
Here's the WHO case definition, which requires only a frickin antigen test positive for a "confirmed case," as of the August 2020 update. Antigen tests are horribly inaccurate, especially in screening testing of course, where the Positive Predictive Value can easily drop to 1% or less (which means there's a 99% chance that a positive test result is a false positive).
Are you starting to see how much exaggeration there is in the whole pandemic surveillance chain?
Respectfully disagree -- almost all nations, including Denmark, define a "case" as a positive test only, no symptoms required. Ditto for deaths. So the 90% downgrade also pertains here as it does for almost every nation in the world b/c most have taken WHO's advice on these definitions as just described. Here's my in depth look at these issues. This is not just US. It's basically global. https://tamhunt.medium.com/how-covid-19-stats-are-grossly-exaggerated-a-brief-summary-of-the-arguments-53a5b4237c4c